- Nutter Town Halls Back on Tonight
- Brian Hickey Seriously Injured
- Filmmaker sought to Document and Follow the Timeline of Political, Zoning and Environmental Crimes in Philly
- FDR, Obama, and the Path to Health Care Reform in 2009
- How We Vote
- It's Our City Interview with Mike Nutter
- Witnesses to Hunger
- Reardon's Actual Library Closing Criteria
- Books for everyone: Buy, buy, buy, buy, buy
- Giving Thanks
Will the reform movement die out?
Last night my favorite reporter in the world asked me what would happen to the reform movement in Philadelphia if none of the city council challengers won, or the casino challenge failed.
"I mean - don't you need a victory?" he asked. "Will it die out?"
And I thought - what?
I guess winning the mayor's office isn't enough?
---
There are 2 people who decided to run on reform, and of all the candidates, I think that those two are the ones who could win:
1. The reformer who has social skills, has worked in city hall for 16 years, and a has a sense of balance and ability to listen to people
or
2. The executive running on reform who used to direct an insurance company whose business model depended on denying people healthcare.
"You could have reformed the healthcare system, they really need some help there!!" I asked him the first time I saw him. "Why do you want to run Philly?"
No one had prepped him for the question.
----
I personally feel that Tom Knox does not appreciate or respect the traditions, the humanity, and the common goals of the way we do politics in this city.
If he respected it, he would have done what other people have done, and built up relationships with people rather than just trying to buy it. I think its a true threat to our system - where you literally are supposed to have a committeeperson living down the block from you who brings you in to vote.
In fact, I think that Knox is such a threat to what we do because he doesn't do the good things - didn't run for lower office first - didn't talk to people - didn't build a coalition...but he took advantage of the bad stuff, like the petition challenges! Like Dan U-A said, I believe he is running a fundamentally dishonest campaign.
Because i want to preserve the good things aabout the way we do politics, I want Michael Nutter to win.
Next Keystone poll is first week of May.
Hannah










and let me add to my post
Another reporter told me that Knox, when questioned, had no ability to talk about the city in terms of what needed to happen legally with the ethics laws. Would go on about the city budget, but no sense of how the game is played.
You can win an election on reform this year in Philadelphia, but what Knox will actually do in office is anyone's guess. To follow Kenney's post...I do believe that Michael Nutter believes in preserving and strengthening city services.
Here are Michael's policy papers on housing, economic development, crime, public education, re-entry for ex-offenders, transportation, the arts, zoning reform and the planning process, environmental issues, ethics laws, and the city budget:
http://www.nutter2007.com/index.php?/issues/
You should read them - look at the issues you care about.
If you like what you see, I encourage you to contribute to Mike Nutter's campaign:
http://www.nutter2007.com/index.php?/contribute/
Even $50 helps!
and let me add to my post again
Can someone invent a new word so i don't have to keep writing "progressive/reform"??
So clumsy.
What about "progform"?
If you switch it around, you get "regressive" - that doesnt work :)
---
And BTW - i think some of those city council challengers are going to win.
Catastrophe or Unique Opportunity?
Assertion: A Knox win on May 15 will likely be the single best opportunity for the current Populist movement in Philadelphia to grow in the upcoming decade.
Reason: Every "political house" in Philadelphia is worried sick over a Knox victory. This site's Stop Knox pleas are only a whisper of true dismay with in the establishment: Brady, Fattah, Evans, Nutter, ALL. Calls for Swift-Boating abound. Calls to gather together are made -- even on this site. Is it possible that everyone fears that Knox will do exactly what he has promised? No one really knows the answer to that question. Will the carefully cultivated old-boys network finally falter? Will no dynastic house hold power? Everything will be upset and in motion...
If Knox wins on May 15th, I predict that the establishment Democrats in Philadelphia will simply have a nervous breakdown - as the pervasive sense of entitlement within the party will come crashing down in moment of insecurity. It will be a mirror image of 2003 - when the Democrats defeated Katz so thoroughly that a year later they accidentally awarded themselves credit for a John Kerry sweep of Philadelphia.
So here is the challenge for those of you grassroots organizers out there -- no matter who you are supporting for mayor, if Knox wins:
While the establishment is busy licking its wounds, organize! Organize for what ever cause you care about and run with it and don't let ANYONE tell you that its not possible. Because they won't have the will to stop you. It will be a rare moment. Use it wisely.
POPULISTS UNITE!
Um, What?
Swift boating? Are you kidding? Swift boating means taking a strength of a candidate, and basically slaughtering them with lies. You know, like Bush/Rove/O'Neal going after the medal of honor winner and all that? Have I said anything about Knox that isn't true? Does he have a history of service I am missing out on?
But yes! Down with people who think screwing poor people, not being sorry about screwing poor people, and still lying about what you knew about screwing poor people is important, in a City where a quarter of the population lives in poverty.
Swift-boating
Actually, that was a quote from someone I heard last night describing what they knew of the efforts of a few very powerful people. I don't think they meant it in the precise technical terms - they meant savaging a candidate until they are maimed beyond recognition.
It ain't pretty.
Like I said below- and hey
Like I said below- and hey maybe I am just getting overly defensive here (shocking!), but when you refer to something that this site is talking about, you are talking about me. Or, in non mayoral topics, Me and Ray, or me, Ray, Jennifer, Gaetano, Mike, Jennifer, Brady, Ben, Alex, Charles, and others.
And, don't you think it is possible that people just don't trust Tom Knox, rather than this being a conspiracy of some sort?
Not a conspiracy clearly
...I mean, everyone is talking about it in public.
I'm just taking this to a logical conclusion.
I'm not entirely sure how Tom Knox would govern myself. I tend to think that most predictions of catastrophe are completely off-base. But that's the point, no one really knows.
On the other hand, I do know this. The leadership of Philadelphia is tired. It desperately needs new ideas and new people. But a pervasive sense of entitlement and "knowing the game" prevent a lot of those new ideas and new people from getting anywhere fast. The crushing weight of the tangled party apparatus prevents us from implementing change quickly. It stomps on its young.
I've seen this kind of thing happen before in my life. And I read about it happening all around the country in other ways. I'm just asking everyone to look beyond the next 20-odd days, and not to fall sick with despair.
please define populism
i thought populism related to political movements that represented the interests of a majority of people. What are the interests you think a majority of Philadelphians share that would make the declaration of the existence of a populist movement in the city to seem credible?
The Philadelphia Populist Movement
I thought this over last night after attending my mandatory Populist Movement weekly meeting...
And I think my above post is slightly incorrect: we don't just need new leadership, we need an influx of new people period, and we need our leadership structure to be a lot more flexible and lateral.
But that's not the definition that Ray requested. Here's what I see: The Philadelphia Populist Movement is simply the amalgamation of all the various people-powered activists in Philadelphia. Its not about the groups themselves, but the membership within. There are two branches so far, branches which I believe are beginning to intertwine.
The first branch is comprised of lifelong Philadelphians. Fed-up and filled with disgust over the sad state of the city: the gunned-down kids, the schools in which 45% of kids drop out, the dirty streets, and complete distrust of the honey-tongued politician. According to polls, many of their peers would leave the city if they could. But folks belonging to "the movement" have decided not to give up.
The second branch, the newcomers: the ones who saw it a different way elsewhere, who know in their hearts that Philly has “potential”, but love it warts and all. Perhaps overly optimistic, they've become active because they want to grow roots here.
Both groups love their city, both find incremental change unacceptable. Its not that they are policy wonks or Utopian visionaries - rather they have concrete knowledge that in other places, its safer, the kids can read, and there is an expectation that a politician would resign in shame after being indicted. Most of all, these folks are outside "the system". They are not full-time political activists, political aspirants or government employees.
The path of the two groups has until now has been down divergent routes: The newcomers tend to come to Philly politics via Dean and the War and hot-button civic issues. The lifelongers tend to be part of the anti-gun and school reform movements. They meet on casinos, they participate in the neighborhood civics. They would have met on the pay raise, had the movement been organized here. Both branches find our current politics completely unacceptable and morally outrageous. They want change. They want it now.
Amen
Well said.
Here's what Wikkpipedia says
How about, instead of
How about, instead of progressive movement, populist movement or reform movement, we just call it "the network." Honestly, it seems that nothing fits quite well into what "this" is--if "this" is anything at all.
You know that I'm not cynical, Anne
but this, along with your prior posts, sure seem like an invitation to supporters of other candidates, particularly Nutter supporters, to throw their support to Knox. Yet you admit that you're "not entirely sure how Tom Knox would govern." In fact, there's no way for anyone to have a clue since he's had no public role whatsoever except in the shadow role he played for Rendell. Why would any of us want to take that kind of leap of faith, particularly in light of all the ugly aspects of his business life that Dan has so succinctly pointed out? Is that what our movement, to the extent it exists, needs? Is that the kind of risk we want the people of the City to take in order to further our movement? If so, I don't know why we would ask anyone to have any more confidence in our movement than they now have in the machine we're all supposedly fighting.
And that's the end of my vacation from this blog.
that was short
not a very long vacation Stan, but welcome back.
People believe Knox IS a threat to our political system
And they like it. That's WHY he's in first place!
Let me say at the start I believe Mike Nutter is the better reform candidate--NO DOUBT ABOUT IT--but I do not pretend Knox's ascent isn't tied to a real, honest rejection of the at least part of the city's Democratic Party power structure.
Before Dan recounts again how Knox went to Vince Fumo in 1999 and thus cannot be an outsider (not very relevant I think, see below), let me add that what his supporters like about Knox--I think--is that he would not OWE anybody anything if he got into City Hall. Like it or not, this is an advantage of self-funding. The Fumo story isn't relevant to Knox's supporters because they know Knox is NOT Fumo's candidate this year (Brady is), and thus Knox would not owe loyalty to Fumo if he were elected.
His supporters LIKE the idea that he would owe loyalty to no one. They like the idea of his independence.
They also believe he'd have a mandate to go after and eliminate patronage jobs and sweetheart contracts, the corrupt parts of the current political system that his supporters reject.
Knox's supporters want, I think, a shock to that system because they believe it has grown bloated and corrupt.
That should not be surprising. That's basically what attracted people to Sam Katz in 1999 and pre-bug 2003. Pay-to-play scandals in the intervening years added to that attraction.
And I have to admit not much of the above upsets me. My thinking is closer to Anne's than Dan's. If a reform mayor cuts patronage jobs and sweetheart contracts, he removes part of what sustains the entrenched party machine. That makes party bosses who rely on those jobs and contracts for influence--party officials, some Ward Leaders, some state legislators--vulnerable. Their vulnerability could lead to opportunities for people outside the system to replace the weakened party bosses. That could lead to chaos, but it could also lead to new ideas and better democracy. Sometimes a little chaos is necessary.
I take most of Knox's detractors seriously, however.
Knox anxiety among progressives seems to fall into three categories:
1) Those who disdain his spending millions to self-fund his campaign ("He's buying City Hall!")
2) Those who disdain his payday lending and not being straightforward when discussing payday lending (Everything Dan says. Btw, I looked again at the Inquirer article, a-a-and...I think the truth is somewhere between what he's saying and you're implying, and it just doesn't upset me that much. Sorry.)
3)Those who think he's going to take a scalpel to social programs, a la Ronald Reagan, in order to save money for rich people's tax cuts (What Ben says, and I'm sure Stan believes.)
I feel the first group's pain and disdain, but, as I said above, I acknowledge some advantages to Knox's financial independence. I agree with Dan that payday lending is bad, I just don't think it means Knox will be mean to poor people as mayor. (I'll add: to me, his having lived through poverty himself somewhat mitigates, makes me think he wouldn't be as heartless as Dan thinks). The third group thinks more like I do, wondering how a guy can save all the money Knox says he wants to save. Short answer: he won't save that much. Longer answer: Cutting social programs is just NOT what he's proposing. If anything, his proposals suggest he'd be overly ambitious in some social spending. FORTY new health centers? Sounds more like Fattah. Who will Knox be mean to? City workers, I'd guess.
Of course, I don't think we need to deal with the potential meanness and the far-fetched numbers in order to shake things up.
Mike Nutter is an independent, honest reformer with a record.
If people want reform they can trust, I think eventually they'll like Mike.
Proudly supporting the BEAUTIFUL Philly For Change Council Slate and MICHAEL NUTTER for Mayor
2) Those who disdain his
Based on what do you think it is somewhere in between what we are saying? Do you think that isn't the business model of payday lenders, or do you think Knox didn't know?
And, you really think the fact that he was once poor, 40 years ago, mitigates that he took advantage of desperate people when he was filthy rich?
Think it's possible
there's something to his story.
Suggested by his getting out so quickly, even though it was making money. As though he realized something.
Again, you and I think differently. I don't really keep a plus/minus scorecard. I'm just trying to predict how he'd perform as mayor.
The fact that he ran a payday lending bank for two years suggests an insensitivity to poor people. The fact that he grew up poor does not.
And then there are his proposals. They're not the best. They just don't suggest an insensitivity to poor people.
Proudly supporting the BEAUTIFUL Philly For Change Council Slate and MICHAEL NUTTER for Mayor
Sam, his "getting out so quickly"
doesn't denote him "realizing something," unless it is that consensus of federal banking regulators, PENNSYLVANIA STATE LAW, and many community groups opposed the lending (this is all google-able).
There's self-interest there too, and not just in terms of good/bad publicity: lowered CRA ratings do lead to restrictions of banks activities--which was what he was facing if he didn't stop.
The "getting out so quickly" was as though "he realized" that what he was doing was wrong under state law, federal law, and growing public perception. Though maybe this demonstrates the executive-as-mayor model being responsive to something!
Jennifer
Sorry Jennifer
I just don't see it in the black-and-white terms you do.
You see Knox's opening a predatory lending bank, knowing exactly what he's doing, and whom he's doing it to.
To me, it sounds more like a bad investment. Rich people invest in bad things all the time (that's how we have big bad things), and then they divest themselves when someone complains and/or they just realize the bad thing is bad. I don't see the difference as being as crucical or as revealing as you.
He owned Crusader for 10 years, 1989 to 1999. In '99, a lawyer pitches Advance America to the directors, of whom Knox is one, and they go for it. Regulators complain, they sell the bank the next year, 2000. Never go back into the business.
Bad, yes. If he had tried to go back into it, it would truly be damning, truly revealing. But he didn't.
It was 18 months out of a 40+ year business career and while I hold him responsible for what he did, I do not conclude that the incident provides the greatest insight into how he would perform as mayor.
I know you think it means he doesn't "deserve" to be mayor, but as I've said before, I do not cast my vote as though the election is an award ceremony, I cast it as though I am on a search committee.
(I vote to hire Michael Nutter, by the way)
We simply have a different way of looking at things.
Proudly supporting the BEAUTIFUL Philly For Change Council Slate and MICHAEL NUTTER for Mayor
Discipline & Punish
Yeah, you know you know me.
I think a point could be made that is internal to the point you are making: 18 months may or may not be dispositive of anything.
But you are very articulately evading responsibility for what you said above, which is that you think you CAN read Knox's getting out to mean something, and something positive.
If that something is just that Knox got he made a bad investment (a sort of blithe way to look at it, but that's business), I'm with you, as you can see above.
But you were marshalling Knox's getting out of payday lending very specifically to imply a narrative of Knox not realizing something was bad for poor people and then realizing it. Maybe that's for my and Dan's benefit, since all this is sort of beside the point for you. My response was simply that there is a demonstrable predicate for Knox getting out of that line of business: the actions of regulators and community activists.
Jennifer
Come on, read what I wrote
The narrative is not explicit. I said to me the truth sounds like something between Tom's story and Dan's accusation, and that the difference doesn't mean that much to me, as...again we are talking about an 18 month excursion in a 40+ year career.
Proudly supporting the BEAUTIFUL Philly For Change Council Slate and MICHAEL NUTTER for Mayor
Knox was the CEO, right?
Knox was the CEO, right? Are you telling me he was told about a new line of business that he should get into, without looking at how that new line of business would make money?
Now you come on!
You said:
Sure, you kept "something" vague. But "his story" refers back to the Inquirer story (a link you explicitly made), where (Gestapo references off the table) he spins a story where he saw the Crusader/Advance America payday lending partnership as not so bad given his reference point of arm-breaking loan sharks from an earlier era.
Jennifer
I think this conversation
is maybe revealing more about you (and maybe me) than it does about Knox.
"something to his story" = partly true, partly not
relentless, relentless picking at clauses in sentences = on a judgemental quest
Proudly supporting the BEAUTIFUL Philly For Change Council Slate and MICHAEL NUTTER for Mayor
Nah
I'm saying either you're wrong that there's something to the story (cf. Dan's claim that he thinks the evidence shows that Knox is lying here about what he knew and when) or that there's so little something (cf. your "partly true, partly not") that to say "there is something there" doesn't say anything meaningful.
Saying your statement is wrong or that it is verbal slight of hand isn't semantic picking at clauses.
But I'm with you and the person below that 18 months should be seen in light of a whole career.
Except since that career aside from banking is in the for-profit healthcare industry, I don't know how much warm-and-fuzzy concern with the problems facing poor and middle-class and small-business-owner Philadelphians we are likely to turn up. Though I guess that's just Dan's litmus test and is irrelevant to a "job interview"-style search for the best and most efficient "manager."
PS I don't know why I am so combative today unless it is that I am sublimating anger at having to spend my time writing on Israeli land-use policy instead of say having happy hour out in the sun.
Jennifer
I'm gonna have to agree with
I'm gonna have to agree with Sam here: although Knox's forray into payday lending certainly undermines his claims to be the white knight for the poor, opponents here have acted as though his entire career was based on that business. Just doesn't seem to make much sense. If those 18 months are enough for you to absolutely hate the guy, so be it.
Also, I find it a bit contradictory to say that Knox was indeed an insider but that he has no public record to examine. If he was an insider but never used his insider power to affect the public in a way that might indicate what kind of mayor he'd be, what does this insider status really matter? I guess another way to put it: Isn't he an outsider to the public policy realm?
Btw, I'm NOT a Knox supporter, but I can understand why so many people are pulling for him... although it's truly surprising to find just how many people see him favorably. His messaging seems spot on and smart.
---
Working for and supporting Matt McClure for the 4th City Council District and leaning towards Nutter.
All these folks
are only seeing his non-stop television commercials, filtered by his campaign and unchallenged by his opponents because of city imposed financial constraints. Sad, but true.
www.jameskenney.com
www.311forphilly.com
Brady?
I thought Anne Dicker was working with the Brady campaign?
Also: "This site's" Stop
Also:
"This site's" Stop Knox thing is from yours truly. So..
Does that mean I am "establishment," Anne?
Please elaborate, so we can discuss this further, and publicly.
Frank Rizzo's Administration Had Great Organizing Opportunities
Anne, Frank Rizzo's Administation was the greatest thing that ever happened for political organizing for centrists and those left of center.
But I personally wish that that the Rizzo Administration had not not happened. It was such a good organizing opportunity because Rizzo performed so badly on so many measures that a Penn State historian would later label him one of the worst mayors in American history.
Tom Knox can be the most conservative mayor our increasingly liberal city has had since Rizzo. Yes, this will present all sorts of organizing opportunities.
But, at the risk of being perceived as some sort of spoilsport, I would prefer an administration more likely to be broadly representative of the vast majority of Philadelphians than an administration that presents a lot of good organizating opportunities.
Our goal must be to raise the quality of life in Philadelphia for Philadelphians, and not to get the most Philadelphians to appear at protest demonstrations.
There really are no shortage of organizing issues (Anyone ever hear of the War in Iraq? Roe v. Wade? Affirmative action? Public education? Raising the minimum wage high enough so minimum wage workers with dependents will not be in poverty?) so we don't have to go along with the old failed strategy of hoping that things getting worse will make things get better. All that leads to is constant downward spiral in our public ambitions and our trustworthiness to the average citizen.
Yeah, No
Anne, if Knox wins, it's a disaster for the city. I don't care how organized the left or whatever becomes. For the vast majority of people in the city, including the poor people that Knox had no problem scamming, a Knox mayoral administration will be a disaster.
In my sophomore year of college, I wrote a couple of papers about the U.S. Communist Party. They held the position that worsening economic conditions were a good thing, because it pushed the masses towards revolution. This seems to be a similar argument (no, I am not calling anyone a Communist) We need a political ideology that will appeal to people all the time, not just when things get worse.
---
Check out my blog!
I am currently working for Marc Stier and Ellen Green-Ceisler.
Reply - 1968
I remeber in 1968 some radicals thought you should support George Wallace for the same reasons
You misinterpret my prediction
Mark and Ben and Lou:
Many posters on this site think that a Knox Administration will be Armageddon, or a second coming of Rizzo. I think that analysis is based on some pretty thin data. Tom Knox is what he is, a former exec that has an understanding of poor people and who is very critical of our current politics. He's definitely less liberal than my dream mayoral candidate, but more liberal than some of the other current mayoral candidates. But what's far more important to me: he has a grasp of the policy outcomes of our current "System for 500" - and shares the belief that it is the #1 cause of Philadelphia being the poorest big city in America.
While I do not think that Tom Knox administration would be a liberal Utopia, I think that it would be one of leadership and accountability. And I hope that it would be one guided by empirical analysis with the goal of raising Philadelphia out of poverty.
Why on earth would I think this? Perhaps its the 7 years I spent in for-profit corporations (yeah, where most of us work). During those 7 years, I saw a lot of CEOs. Even worked with a few. Most of them were pretty avaricious and small-minded -- they are the ones I was over-joyed at seeing fired. But there was one that I really admired, one that saved the company I worked for...To save the majority of jobs of normal people, he had to replace a lot of folks at the top. The VPs were mad and scared because their company cars and six-figure salaries were on the line. They were anxious because for years they had not been held accountable. For decades, the company had been run to stuff the pockets of these VPs, rather than to grow the company. And now their jobs were on the line - Funny enough, some of them did turn around and do a good job and stayed on. Those who didn't, were fired. Things turned around, and turned around quickly. The culture of despair turned into hope.
I don't want Philadelphia government to be run like a corporation. (After 7 years in the belly of that ideological beast, I'm a deeply committed anti-corporatist.) But I do want accountability and change. And that, more than anything else, is what I think we might see from 4 years work from an ex-CEO.
Anne, could you explain
the second part of this statement:
How do you see Knox as more "liberal" than some of the other candidates?
Compare the policy papers
All the candidates are fairly similar. On a few issues that I care deeply about, Knox is somewhat more liberal and comes to more correct policy conclusions than others (devolution of city services, casinos, increasing the number of health care centers). Accuse me of being apostate and overly analytical, but I think leadership, open-mindedness, and empiricism are more important when the candidates are so similar on the ideological spectrum. I'd like to see more proof of these qualities to differentiate the candidates.
empiricism?
OK- empirically, what has Tom Knox done to help poor people in Philadelphia. He may turn out to be another Bloomberg (which I personally would love), but whereas Bloomberg has a long history of Philanthropy and has stated on numerous occasions that he will spend his vast wealth on helping others, what has Tom done?
I would say that your statements come a lot closer to fantasy (or at least wishful thinking) than anything approaching empiricism. You may be right about Tom, but your beliefs are based on wishes and faith, in so far as I can tell. Again, please prove me and everyone else on the site other than Susan) wrong: what has Tom done, outside of making himself money (sometimes at the expense of the poor and desperate), that should convince the "analytical" amongst us that he will not throw poor people, or their itnerests, under the bus if he becomes mayor.
And please don't repeat that "he was poor". So what? So was Al Capone, and so are many other criminals. Was Eliot Spitzer poor? Was FDR? My father, for example, grew up middle class and he has devoted his entire life to representing people without the means to get their own representation. What is the correlation between having lived in poverty and doing good? In so far as I can tell, growing up poor did not stop Tom from fleecing the poor- Federal and State regulators did (known in Tom's mind as "the Gestapo").
I really don't get why Tom can't just come out and explain his actions (other than by saying "hey, they were lining up around the block" to get ripped off)?
I work for Damon K. Roberts in his run for City Council. Unless otherwise stated this and every comment by myself is the opinion of myself, and not of Damon or any other candidate, organization, committee, etc.
Prove to me...
empirically that any one of the current candidates will leave a predictably better city after four years of work, and I will gladly vote for them. All external factors held constant. Go for it. Show me numbers. Multiple regression analysis is one of my favorite past-times....Give me stats or give me death...I want R-squareds dammit!
In any case, just as certainly as you find my non-empirical analysis fantasy, so do I find your hysteria overblown. Vote for who *you* believe to be the best candidate.
All I *am* out to do is prevent a truly unique lost opportunity if Tom Knox wins. Be creative.
But, no Anne
You're not just asking us to "prevent a . . . lost opportunity if Knox wins." You want us to vote for him, don't you?
Stan, if I wanted to influence anyone on the mayor's race...
I wouldn't do it here...ya'll have been campaigning at YPP since last summer.
Thing is, about a month ago I started playing around with scenarios of what would happen if Tom Knox won. As that scenario got more and more likely, I saw hysteria grip this site. And hysteria is not productive. If the arguments that purported to warrant all this anxiety were at all convincing, I would have campaigned. I did so in 2000. I did so in 2003, 2004, 2005, and 2006 and I can't wait until May 16th 2007. Quite frankly, this mayor's race bored the hell out of me. I want a dream mayor, and there just isn't one in the current crop.
What I do want is for everyone to campaign hard for those you are supporting. As Sam Durso says, PFC has a beautiful slate.
And when you wake up on May 16th, please don't overdose if Tom Knox was elected mayor. Because I think there's a real populist movement rising.
Populist Movement?
To date: Knox...... more than 15,000 gross tv rating points purchased.
All the others ...... between 2000 and 3000 gross tv rating points purchased
www.jameskenney.com
www.311forphilly.com
Please see post on Philadelphia Populism
Cheerios. I gotta run to another one of those mandatory movement meetings!
And what does that say?
Maybe ordinary Philadelphians are not all that impressed by what they've seen from the current crop of candidates.
Most voters don't live in Center City or trendy neighborhoods. They don't spend all day on YPP, nor are most of them DFA members. They don't take SEPTA for environmental reasons; they do it because they have to. They're not big fans of ideology, they just know the city is broken and most of the people claiming they can fix it are part of the machine that broke it in the first place. Their neighborhoods aren't safe, and it doesn't seem like their children will get a good education. Why should they trust the people who have been in charge for so long?
If Tom's message didn't resonate, no one would pay any attention. I'm out on the street with him, I hear all the stories from desperate people who can't get the help they need from the city. They're tired of it, they're fed up and they're ready for a big change.
Tom didn't create the hopelessness in this city, Councilman. The machine did.
Press secretary, Knox campaign. Blogger on hiatus, former award-winning journalist.
No, he didn't create
the hopelessness, but he's doing a hell of a job creating false hope. 1,000 new cops, sharply lower taxes. Knock, knock, open heaven's gate.
I don't want to take sides
I don't want to take sides in this debate, but it highlights an important issue.
People really want a change. Knox is addressing that need. I don't know him or his campaign so I don't know if he really believes that or if he is responding to polls. (Read: I really don't know, not a rhetorical question.) Candidates have to address that in a way that voters think will address their needs.
In terms of the policy, I have to agree with Stan's general point I have seen elsewhere on this site, you cannot reduce taxes and increase City services. Because lowering taxes will not in and of itself increase revenue. But Philadelphia has to do it, b/c the tax burden will kill existing business and make the City less competitive in getting businesses. That's the problem that everyone studying the issue has looked at.
Philadelphia has an increasingly aging population, which is getting in many neighborhoods (save Center City, U. City, Mt. Airy, Chestnut Hill, some parts of S. Philly), much older, poorer and less educated, which means that more City services are required. Worse yet, rising health care costs, debt from prior bond issuances, is reducing the ability to reduce taxes (b/c the budget is more and more fixed.) (Tom Ferrick really does a great explanation of this problem.)
Most candidates promise stuff when running for mayor that they cannot deliver. (Biggest reason is that virtually everything they promise requires approval of City Council.) Politically, people do expect some integrity from their candidates, but like most consumers, want to know that the salesman is selling something they want, w/o regard to whether it makes sense ultimately.
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I do not work for/support any candidate for any office in Philadelphia.
The only surefire way to stop Tom Knox from buying the election
...Is for someone who really cares about Philadelphia
who is friends with
the people who run the tv stations
and the cable companies
to get on the phone
and convince them
to change the rate structure and limitations
on the cost of political advertising.
---
Now THAT would change the world.
I actually wrote a long post about this last year
The tower of dreams and the mayor's race
http://youngphillypolitics.com/the_tower_of_dreams_and_the_mayors_race
Knox might spend more on TV in this city this election season than Ed spent on the whole state last year ($17 million).
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working for Ellen Green-Ceisler for Judge
I think that tv stations
I think that tv stations offer a lower rate for political advertising, but your point is spot on. You spend money on TV you will do well. Its really that simple. Doesn't mean you are going to win, but you will not get run out of the gym so to speak.
In Philadelphia, the ward system actually makes it possible to win without great money. In most cities, the business community picks a candidate and that candidate can win. As a result, the policies are very pro business.
The commitment to organized labor in Philadelphia prevents massive changes to DC33 & 47's contracts and amounts to a transfer of wealth from the citizens, through taxation, to City workers. (It's not quite one to one, b/c City workers live in the City and spend money in the City, so some of that money comes back.)
The other side is that by making City contracts worse for the workers will result in worse city services. Its a catch 22 unless the City can attract businesses and citizens willing to pay higher taxes.
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I do not work for/support any candidate for any office in Philadelphia.
That was brilliant!
The part about a transfer of wealth through city services to city workers.
So true!
I had a conversation last night actually about this. Even though state and local government is almost always one of the largest employers in a given place, in Philly getting a job with the city is even MORE important because there are so few other jobs.
What do we have left anyway?
1. fast food
2. the arts
3. getting paid to sit outside the polls on Election day
That's....pretty much it!
With that kind of setup, ain't nothing ever going to change.
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working for Ellen Green-Ceisler for Judge
Transfer of Wealth?
All work is the transfer of wealth/assets. To suggest (tell me if I am overreacting) that this is a "transfer" when it is in fact wages for work. City workers pick up trash, take care of abused children, collect taxes, maintain playgrounds and libraries, etc. This is work. Frank Rizzo was addressing AFSCME once with Castille and Katz and said:
"Mr. Castille you make a lot of money, and Mr. Katz, you are a millionaire. You guys want to take a dollar an hour away from a guy that makes a living picking up trash? You guys make me sick"
Love him or hate him, Rizzo was entertaining.
That said while we need to make city services more responsive and efficient, wages are not a "transfer", they are earned.
Transfer of Wealth?
City workers also put out fires, apprehend criminal, stop crime, contract Hep C, get killed in burning buildings, protect our safety, get shot and sometimes killed doing so, deliver babies, pull people out of wrecks and transfer people to hospitals. Firefighters and police officers do what is antithetical to human nature. They run to danger, not from it. Hardly a transfer of wealth.
Lou I hope that no one
Lou
I hope that no one believes that we should have fewer police/fire/safety workers and that they should sacrifice disproportionately. The issue is that for the mass of City government it is the citizens who pay for those benefits that are very, very rich. But more citizens/businesses are unwilling to pay so they move out of the City. Which means higher taxes for those who remain. It makes Philadelphia less competitive.
That's the transfer of wealth. I am not making a value judgment about what City workers do -- used to be one myself -- only pointing out it is a zero sum game. More City expenditures, means a higher City budget and higher taxes or borrowing to push that to future generations.
Private employers are struggling with increase costs of health care and City workers have great pensions and health benefits paid for by taxpayers.
Here's the problem with that. The City is getting poorer and poorer so that cost is passed off to people who are less able to pay. (Rich people do not pay taxes as a rule, they have a host of accountants designed to turn cash flow into revenues with high expenses.) Who pays, the average working class, union card carrying, row house living, tax paying, law abiding, families with children trying to make ends meet.
So there is a Hobson's choice -- require City workers to pay for more of their own health benefits to reduce the tax burden, or reduce services. Those who advocate for tax cuts almost by necessity argue that there has to be a reduction in City services. I don't think that there is any reliable data to suggest that tax cuts will lead to increased revenue, b/c the overall cost of doing business in Philadelphia is much higher than similar areas, nationally and regionally. Also, there is simply not enough inefficiencies to reduce the cost of operating the government. Rendell squeezed a lot of that out and Street has reduced in some parts the government.
The only other scenario is massive layoffs -- what I think Councilman Kenney referred to in another post -- b/c if you increase City services and decrease taxes, you have to layoff employees to make it all work -- assuming PICA will let you.
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I do not work for/support any candidate for any office in Philadelphia.
I agree that all work is the
I agree that all work is the transfer of wealth/assets. Taxes take money from taxpayers and give it to City workers and other costs in the City budget. (Employees is one of/the biggest line item.)
I don't mean to suggest that it is not well deserved. Most City employees work very hard at what they do and deserve to get paid.
The issue I have is that if City workers are getting benefits richer than what is market for what they do, taxpayers are shouldering the additional costs, and Philadelphia just doesn't have the tax base to support the inefficiencies.
To me, Philly is at a critical crossroads. In order to join the list of world class cities, it needs to dramatically increase the quality of life for folks in neighborhoods. (Rich people are good at improving their own quality of life.) That means increased City services, more cops, more fire fighters, more street pickup of trash, etc.
However, the tax base has moved to Washington Township, Phoenix, King of Prussia, etc., and the overall cost of living is very high. Homeowner's insurance is impossible to get if you live next to an abandoned rowhome. Car insurance is extremely high. Few Philadelphians have garages so the damage to your car is very high as well. (Trolley tracks don't help.) The schools are bad in most places so many people send their kids to parochial or other private school. Short answer, it is expensive to live.
So taxes need to be decreased, when services need to be increased. The City still has an infrastructure for 2.5MM people, with rec centers that are not full to capacity, city owned basketball courts all across the City where the population has left, 1,500 polling places, etc. However, if you cut those services crime would really increase.
Its a tough scenario of choices. To me, it is critical that we streamline City government to pay for more cops and public safety folks and get the City out of charitable endeavors. Otherwise, more families vote with their feet and the cycle will continue.
There is a lot of hope with areas turning around left for dead. But if the crime problem is not put to rest, that won't matter.
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I do not work for/support any candidate for any office in Philadelphia.
I think that depends on what you consider entertaining
Me? I guess I'm just a Debby Downer, but I'm not particularly entertained by bigotry, police brutality, pay-to-play, patronage, supporting Richard Nixon, mayors that fail lie detector tests, smear campaigns, etc.
I will vote for whom I think is best, thank you!
That wouldn't have crossed my mind if you hadn't brought it up.
It's funny how you respond to my questioning of whether your like of Knox is based upon evidence (that is what empirical means: "dependent on evidence or consequences that are observable by the senses") And, as always happens with anyone who supports Knox, any desire for some shred of evidence that Knox will in fact work in the interest of is met by silly attacks or silence. I really don't know what the hell any of that has to do with stat, other than you are conflating two related scientific terms or an attempt to avoid the topic. I think that "empirically" Mike Nutter is our best shot for change precisely because he has very publicly fought for reforms for many years. Nutter's track record is there for you to look at, but what the hell do we know about Knox?
Again (and no, this isn't hysteria, it's an honest question), can anyone point to some sort of record that counters the negatives associated with Knox's business dealings (and I don't necessarily think a background in the Insurance Industry is all that great a sign either) say about how he will act as a mayor, if he's elected.
But if he is elected I, like most others, will try to make the best of it. If he does get elected I look forward to him proving my fears baseless, but your assurances don't really help at all. Let the man (and his record) speak for himself.
I work for Damon K. Roberts in his run for City Council. Unless otherwise stated this and every comment by myself is the opinion of myself, and not of Damon or any other candidate, organization, committee, etc.
Just to follow up on this--
If I do not bill and make a profit for my firm, the likelihood of me staying employed is thin.
In the public sector, profit is not the motivation. But, if someone can work for more efficiency and higher productivity in public sector employees, they are saving money, which is similar to profit.
Good leaders give people responsibility, but make people accountable. Good leaders cut the fat and make services run more efficiently.
I do not want Philadelphia to be run entirely like a corporation either and I do not endorse Knox. But, there is something the public sector can learn from the private sector--most importantly that things have to get done, get done quickly and get done right.
Are you endorsing Knox, Anne?
Your post all but does. And I find that kind of disheartening. You say his administration would be one of "leadership and accountability." Leadership on what, and accountability to whom? You give us no evidence other than your impression on either. He's certainly not accountable to a movement in the sense that he would owe his election to it. His election would be due to his money and slick message, and Joe Trippi as far as I can tell.
And you "hope that [his administration] would be one guided by empirical analysis with the goal of raising Philadelphia out of poverty." Well his business drove hundreds of people into poverty which he surely knew. Why didn't he care about it then? The only semi-concrete basis for your belief that he cares about relieving poverty is his purported concern about our current "System for 500" which is allegedly "the #1 cause of Philadelphia being the poorest big city in America." But we're hardly the only town with an entrenched business elite, if that's what that shorthand refers to. And I think it's a major problem that the city is run for the benefit of a few. But it's one thing to point that out, which he's not done publicly in the campaign, paranthetically. It's another to have the foggiest notion of what to do about it. I think progressives, if we're not to be derided as easy marks, have to demand more from candidates than catch phrases and nod and winks. We have to demand demonstrated knowledge, work and achievement on issues that define the class divide, and the skills, determination and team needed to overcome it. Knox has none of that, and I'm surprised that a little soft shoe from him has convinced you otherwise. And I'm even more surprised that you think the "evidence" you've given us that Knox is the answer will persuade anyone on this list who cares enough about these issues to actually think about them.
Anne: What makes you think that Knox
won't ally himself with one of Philadelphia's political houses?
He's gonna be toast.
If Knox gets elected he'll be toast. That guy won't know what to do!
It'll totally be Jannie Blackwell running the city, dude.
Finally, Philly gets its first female mayor! Ha ha ha.
Knox for Mayor = Blackwell as Council President
That sounds pretty god damn scary. Is it really true that Knox is requiring council candidates to support Blackwell for council pres in order to get his support?
Not that the truth carries much weight when it comes to Tom...
But no, it's not true.
Just keep "spinning the shit," though. I'm sure you'll find plenty of people here ready to believe it, especially the ones working for campaigns who would rather leak, smear and lie than actually address the city's corruption.
Because they know who wins that fight. No wonder they keep changing the subject.
Press secretary, Knox campaign. Blogger on hiatus, former award-winning journalist.
Take it easy Susan.....
I know you have to play defense on here a lot, but please don't lump me in with the "spinning the shit" Brady crew. I support Michael Nutter for Mayor, but I actually think Tom is ok and am legitimately trying to find out whether he is supporting Jannie Blackwell. I have heard that challengers in both the 1st and 2nd disctrict council races have accepted the deal with Tom to support Blackwell for council president in exchange for getting Tom's help. If that is not true, and I was instead fed some bull by a Brady supporter, then those challengers can come on YPP and say so (or choose not to). And if either one of them wins, we'll just have to wait and see how they vote for Council President. But I hope most people on this blog would agree, that anyone who aligns themself with Jannie "We're all ethic'd out" Blackwell should leave their "reformer" credentials at home when they step out the front door to hit the campaign trail. She's one of the problems on council, not part of the solution, and anyone who enables her should also be viewed as part of the problem.
Keep Probing
Keep probing Sagacity!
You'll be amazed at some of the deals that have been made.... When a lot of money is involved, weird things happen...
Just remember, where there is Youngblood, there is Blackwell. And with this deal, you're just hitting the tip of the iceberg. Well, maybe that's an exaggeration....you're hitting on a big one, but there is much, much more..
Remember, Jannie is the person who said she couldn't support a ban on nepotism because it would be disrespectful to her late husband. If all goes according to plan, we may yet see Youngblood back on the city payroll. But hey, he's rehabilitated, isn't he??
Didn't mean it to you personally...
I'm just a little testy when I see the sorts of things certain candidates are willing to push to smear Tom.
Press secretary, Knox campaign. Blogger on hiatus, former award-winning journalist.
Question for Hannah
If the week before election day the race is between Knox and Brady or Fattah and Knox, do you think the Nutter people will vote against Knox or hand him the victory by sticking with Michael.
This is the scenario that played out with Weinberg/Street. The people who supported White, Fernadez and Burrell went with Street over Weinberg making Street the mayor.
btw Which City Council challengers do you think will win.
that's an interesting scenario!
Lou you should answer your own question! I would love to hear that.
Chris Mottola said once that Philadelphians apparently invented strategic voting!
We seem to be the masters at it.
Okay - if you want my totally random opinion - i think if it's Knox-Fattah, the Nutter folks lean towards Fattah. Early Nutter diehards just tend to care about public policy, there will be a racial aspect there, plus the undecideds are folks whose campaign Fattah has played to by the stress on education.
If it's Knox-Brady (whoa, a mayor's race with two white dudes!! what would happen?!?), the early Nutter signons probably go for Knox; late Nutter signons might like Brady more, depending on what ward they live in and who they have relationships with.
What do you guys think?
Question for Lou
I got suckered into this kind of thing with Dan the other day.
But given that--depending on the poll--Michael's running ahead of or within-the-margin-of-error of both Brady and Fattah, the question should go to you too:
Would Brady's supporters come over to Michael or Chaka, if it got down to a two-horse race between one of them and Knox?
Given that Knox's and Brady's constituencies are pretty similar demographically, it seems unlikely that the race really COULD come down to those two.
Btw, in '99 the field was Street, Weinberg, White, Fernandez, and Evans (not George Burell; he came in 3d to Rendell and Lu Blackwell in '91).
White ran a fairly close 3d in 1999, so most of his supporters did not abandon him, (Street 35.81%, Weinberg 31.08%, White 21.60%). The same cannot be said for Happy's or Dwight's (6.3% and 4.63%, respectively). Most of their people really did go over to Street.
My own two cents: John White's campaign is most similar to Michael's, and his people never abandoned.
I think that's your answer.
Proudly supporting the BEAUTIFUL Philly For Change Council Slate and MICHAEL NUTTER for Mayor
Sam: I respectfully disagree on your White analysis
Internal tracking polls by both Katz and Street showed White surging in the late stages of the 1999 primary. On the last weekend of the campaign Katz intervened in the Democratic primary by running an anti-White TV ad while Street made a strong appeal that a vote for White was a vote for Weinberg. This 1-2 punch knocked about 5 points off White's support.
Clout is absolutely correct.
Clout is absolutely correct. White was a big concern in both camps. Street fearing that White would siphon off votes and let Weinberg win -- what some accused George Burrell of doing to Lucien Blackwell in 1991. (I think that's up for debate, but it was a popular view.)
Katz knew that he could beat Street, b/c of the strong anti-Street sentiment in the White community and softness in the middle class African American neighborhoods -- Mt. Airy, the Oaklanes & Wynnefield. But John White would consolidate the Democratic vote, and maul Katz on election day in November is what every internal poll revealed in a heads up race.
The issue I have with the reformers is that in their critique of the Party/City Committee/Ward Structure -- a lot of which deserves discussion -- is that many seek to swoop into neighborhoods and tell them about these really arcane issues of policy and wonder why typical neighborhood folks don't buy on.
The reason is two fold. One, people care about Crime and crappy schools -- which is now tied to crime in schools. Anyone who does not address that issue is spitting into the wind politically. Two, many of the reformers do not have long track records in neighborhood organizing. (That's perception -- lots of exceptions.) Many Ward Leaders/Committeepeople do that stuff all day long. As a result, there is a perception that folks from outside their neighborhood/community are trying to tell them that they suck. Philadelphians bristle at this concept across all lines.
There is a lot to be changed about the Ward System and the current politics in Philly. After being shut out African Americans found that the party system still excluded them as recently as the 1970s. (Charlie Bowswer's campaign for Mayor anyone. Hardy Williams?). The rise of the Northwest and Bill Gray as power players in the 1980s was outside and around the Ward Structure in many instances. Many African American Ward Leaders took over their wards/seats in neighborhoods that were primarily Black with White ward leaders.
I would say that that has changed -- to a degree -- now. Here's the issue. Now that African Americans have gotten some headway into the Ward System, there is a movement to change it. That goes against the history of trying to get into the system. Those wards were taken over by painful block by block organizing. (Dave Richardson great example.)
Some of the so called reformers want to get rid of the system without replacing it with anything of use. The reason that committeepeople have clout is b/c of the perception City government does not work for most people. Police do not come to drug corners. L&I does not cite businesses operating illegally or board up buildings. Streets Department does not fix potholes, etc. So to get anything done the way it should requires another party bureaucracy to spur City government to action.
That's the issue that if people are seeking to reform the Ward Structure that they have to answer. They have to be willing to do the kind of door to door, block by block, organizing to create change. My sense is that most do not have the patience to do that.
As a result, the committeepeople get older, and no new blood is brought into the Party, b/c it has a strong incumbent bias and bias towards the status quo. That's what keeps Bill Reiger around....
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I do not work for/support any candidate for any office in Philadelphia.
Taking over a Ward
There are several scenarios for taking over a Ward. I, along with several others, did it in 2002.
1. Work with Civics and AAs. These are people who are involved in their community and know how to work in an organization.
2. Pick a ward with alot of empty positions or one with alot of no show committee people; or
3 One where there is a vacancy.
4. It is good to do it in a contested governor's election. Pick the candidate that the other side does not. You get logistical and monetary support.
5. Be prepared to work hard. You are not running one election, but in my case, 90 separate elections.
6. Don't think you won after the committee person election. Keep trying to switch people over
7. Run hard
8. Don't show up and try to be a Ward leader. I was a committee person for twenty years before I ran.
9. If there are three factions in the race, try to cut a deal with one. Make sure the other two do not cut a deal around you.
10. This is the most important thing KNOW HOW TO COUNT.
When we took over the Ward the average age dropped by about thirty years. It is fun and rewarding. Most importantly you can really have a positive impact on your community.
Lou's comments are
Lou's comments are absolutely on point. This is the best advice I have seen, and I have heard a lot of advice on the subject. Taking nothing away from the list above, I would add a couple of other points.
1. Make sure your petitions are filled out properly. Make sure your circulators live in the division and are registered to vote.
2. RUN TWO COMMITTEEPEOPLE IN EACH DIVISION. I am not sure why that is a difficult lesson to learn, but you'd be surprised how many Ward takeovers fail for that reason.
3. Strike committeepeople opposed to you who have not properly filled out their petitions. Check the circulators, the notaries, the signatures against the voter registration cards. Check addresses and occupations.
4. Be prepared when someone buys your candidates out with jobs. You would be surprised how many Turnpike jobs are available for that purpose.
5. I agree with Lou 1000%, be a committeeperson first. Be active in the community.
6. Get a copy of City Committee's rules. Remember it is an elected position in the Party.
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I do not work for/support any candidate for any office in Philadelphia.
What reformers and wards are you talking about?
I go into wards and talk about community organizing. I don't talk about arcane public policy but point to four or five examples of easily understood and innovative public policies that are working in other cities in America but that we have not brought to Philly. And I talk about how a politics of specials deals (a politics of fear) is both unfair to many neighborhoods and blocks innovation.
My speech is getting a great reception in the ward meetings, both black and white. I do a little bit of shtick at the beginning and end of every speech--which I won't write about until I've given my last ward speech of the campaign. But I can say that, at the end, I ask the committee people if they liked the speech. Almost all the committee people, including the ward leaders, raise their hands. And with one exception, I have received enthusiastic applause. And as I walk around the room shaking hands people say, "you were telling the truth up there." And contrary to what you say, the black wards are even more enthusiastic than the white ones, which are pretty positive as well.
That is to say, at the heart of the party, people know that this city and political system have some serious problems. (By the way, my experience is that this true at the top as well as the bottom of the party.) And they are looking for change. That doesn't mean I'll have the support of all these wards. Ward leaders have established relationships with the incumbents and that is hard to overcome, even when they like me. (I asked one ward leader if should would meet me yestereday. She said to me, "sure, but it won't do you any good this year. I'm not going to do you. But I'll meet you because I have a feeling that that, win or lose, you are going to be around for a long time.")
We will see if any reformers, including me, have the knowledge, connections, and resources, to put together a campaign that overcomes the enormous advantage that the incumbents have. It will be tough but I'm sure that it is possible for me to win this year. And it depends in no small part on whether the folks who read this blog and their friends are willing to help and / or send money. And, as we may see soon, this is going to be a bit of an unusual year in the at-large race.
I can't say here all the things going for me in this campaign. If anyone is thinking of volunteering for my campaign, but wants to know in more detail how I can win, call my office phone at 215 988-9599 or stop by at 1429 Walnut Street (three doors to the left of City Committee) and I'll give you a taste of the creative ways I'm managing to combine 21st and 19th century politics.
Taking over a Ward
btw Marc was one of the people who helped me take over the Ward in 2002
Marc you missed the point
Truthtold said:
There are a lot of great people I met working for MoveOn and after founding Philly Against Santorum.
However, one thing I learned is that relying on a group of people who work full-time to get anything done is tough. 20 people sign up to canvass and 5 show, 30 sign up to phonebank and 11 show. You ask someone to run a table in a neighborhood and they don't call or show where they are supposed to.
This isn't out of apathy or disrespect, but people who have children and work and try to have a social life don't have a lot of time to fit volunteering for political "movements."
If these same people became a part of the institution and got to be committeepeople, they still would not have time. It's one of the reasons so many members of City Committee are older--they have time to do stuff.
I'm all for rhetoric, but just between us chickens, I have to agree with truthtold that the "movement" (a ridiculously overblown term to describe 2 or 3 white liberal groups that have joined the ranks of older, more established non-party entities active in Philly politics) will have to work hard to get beyond electing people to office and actually figuring out to deliver services and concrete results to a population that mostly does not vote in municipal elections and does not have a lot of hope.
And I am sure your speech resonated with a lot of folks, but all those people nodding their heads and murmuring sighs of approval will turn on you in a second if you don't seal up an abandoned house quick enough or turn off a fire hydrant in the summer, or vote the wrong way on library funding or whatever.
Why Wouldn't I do Those Things?
My disagreement with Truthtold was not over whether we progressives should try to blow up the ward system. I don't think we should. I think we should reform it. And from my experience in this election, that doesn't mean replacing a lot of committee people and ward leaders but, instead, changing the context in which they operate. At the initial Neighborhood Networks conferenece I said that NN would help bring out the "inner liberal" in our ward leaders. It was partly a joke. But I'm finding it is not wholly a joke. There are a lot of ward leaders who acknowledge that real change is need in how the city operates.
I also think that we will find plenty of progressive, young and old, black and white, who want to do the work of committee people and will make time to do so. There are lots of such folks now. Again, change the context---create some hope that the city can change--and more of those folks will come out.
Changing how the city operates doesn't mean that committee people and ward leaders and council people stop solving the problems of individual people. That is always going to be necessary. But, as I tell folks at ward meetings, just once in a while, I'd like to see the Streets Department remove snow from every street in my division without my having to call them.
Finally, I want to call you on your continual denigrating of the progressive movement for being all white. It isn't. NN is about 15% black and is closely allied with the African American Heritage Coalition. My own work on the minimum wage coalition, the transit coalition, and the affordable housing coalition has been done in close collaboration with African American activists. I am campaigning heavily in North Philadelphia with the support of activists in a few neighborhoods. Progressive activists have worked with black candidates from different organizations in the city. I've worked closely with Cherelle Parker and LeAnna Washington. And you are working with Chaka now.
There are other ways whites can work with blacks in progressive politics besides the one you have chosen. That's not a criticism of your choice--I like Chaka and see why a plausible case can be made for him as Mayor. But it would be nice if you would acknowledge that there are other ways to create a integrated progressive movement than your own.
And it would also be nice if you would acknowledge how your own alliance with Chaka Fattah has affected your varied political activities over the years. Philly Against Santorum never even tried to organize African Americans. And this year, your choices to support some progressive candidates and not others has been influenced by this alliance.
deleted
deleted, by my own choice.
To some extent, does it
To some extent, does it matter how people identify themselves. Sure, at TBOC we want groups who self identify as progressive. But, individually, who cares if the membership of ACORN or PUP, or the people they serve, say they are "progressive." Actions speak louder than words. They have affiliated themselves through their work.
Marc has a great point.
Editorial note--this comment was edited as Ray's deletion made much of it irrelevant.
It's easier to repeat myself
There are lots of good people running for office. I'n not one of them. I have devoted my entire professional life (such as it is) to making change--electorally and not. I do this work full-time. That said, like I said in a comment above:
My point above is simple: only time will tell, but running a campaign is far different than actually making things happen. And a lot of the people running for office don't have that much experience doing it. I have no doubt that intelligent thoughtful new members of Council can figure it out, but to pretend there is no learning curve is silly.
Further, a lot of folks are making claims about the existence of a movement.
Maybe they really believe there is one, but I suspect it's strategic too.
The local print media has given a lot of coverage to some people and some groups--myself included--and you learn pretty quickly that reporters want you to say how big your work is getting and how many people it represents if you want to keep getting covered.
It's fun to be in the paper, but this cycle, I chose to work for a campaign and for a candidate I believed in, where I knew going in that I would be a lot lower on the totem pole than I was as the Director of PAS.
That's because rather than pretending that a fully formed moevment for progressive change exists in Philadelphia that can actually routinely impact elections and public policy, I wanted to learm more skills to be able to do the work to get there.
I love meeting people--especially people who only have an hour or two a week to give to politics and can't or don't blog all day. These are the people whose opinions about change matter the most, because if you can motivate them, and recruit and enagge enough of them, you have real power.
I am not saying, as Marc implies, that my way is the only way, but it is what I am doing and i am pretty open about that. There are lots of great organizers in this city--the best are the ones you never hear from because they are too busy working to blog ;)
I think you too make valid
I think you too make valid points here. And, while I may not be in favor of your candidate at this time, I think you are doing this the right way.
In terms of a movement, it IS hard to define. I know that something is happening, but whether that something happens with every group of political activists or not is still something I am working to figure out. But, I think it is important that the general perception is that there is, indeed, some type of movement. Whether that perception extends South of Washington Ave., North of Girard Ave., outside of Germantown and Mount Airy is something we have to figure out.
At the same time, "progressive" is just a word. I find the alliances between groups, whether they are progressive or not, to get things done the best example of there not actually being an independent movement, but a citizenry starting to gain awareness of their own abilities to shape their lives and communities. I think the City Hall corruption scandals, the pay raise and now the casino issue are issues that are galvanizing the desire for change.
I look at the casino issue and the coalition among Center City professionals, people from gentrified communities, old-school/real deal/neighborhood Philadelphians, people from groups like MCA and the longshoreman as a prime instance of this awareness.
Movement or not, Philadelphians are benefiting from people working together. I sometimes shy away from the notion of a movement because it is so hard to define. In one of my own projects this year, it is something we struggle with. But, this is good. It is good to strugge with this. At least, it is much better than struggling with a citizenry who will throw up their hands and give up.
I agree
Gaetano, I agree with you. It's just that I have worked with 501c-3 who I think, whether they label themselves progressive or not--like Media Tank, CLS, PUP, ACORN, Clean Water Action, Congreso, CCJ (god rest its soul), PCCY, Maternity Care Coalition, Sierra Club, NARAL, AFSC, SEIU, AFSCME, UFCW, UNITE (and HERE), TWU, Brandywine, Bread and Roses, Black Radical Congress, WCRP, TAG (which has been renamed)Penn PIRG and PennEnvironment and more--and I am telling you, they have been working together (in different configurations) for over 20 years.
Further, many of the leaders--the movers and the shakers in these groups--don't come to PFC or NN or NABOR or donate or give advice or have any real connection to these groups.
That's not a bad thing, and maybe there's not much to be taken from this other than the fact that an actual movement--comprised of all the people who work for what we would call "progressive" change, with widely recognized leaders and a clear agenda--does not quite exist.
I agree that the pieces are there, and they could be put together, but it has not happened yet. Additionally, I have expressed concern many times to many people that an electoral approach may not be the best way to put all this together.
We'll see--it's a busy election cycle this year, and a lot of change could happen, but let's not keep pretending and promising that stuff that doesn't exist yet does--and instead focus on doing the work to make it real.
That's the only thing that will gain credibility and therefore loyalty from the vast majority of Philadelphians who don't vote or don't actively participate in collective action to make our city better.
I am not saying any of this to be discouraging--I am eternally optimistic about the capacity of people to come together and organize for change, and the is a lot of good stuff happening. But we can't satisfy our quest for a better Philadelhia with alchemy, when with hard work, we can find real gold.
My comments are not directed
My comments are not directed at you, and I do wish you the best for your campaign. It is very difficult to run a Citywide race, particularly for City Council, b/c there are five other elected officials that have your exact job. People do not connect as well with at large candidates, because of that fact -- so insiders and district councilmembers say.
Transit stops, 69 ward meetings, community meetings, endorsements, interviews with the newspapers, asking people for money, getting a good reception in places where other candidates are popular, it is a very tough job to do.
People definitely want a change. There is no doubt about that. But City Council at large -- in my estimation -- is a popularity contest. Its very hard to please all parts of the City -- impossible with their competing needs. So you have to have a strong base of support and a lot of name recognition.
You (third person singular) could win your neighborhood by thousands of votes and lose the death of a thousand cuts to candidates who are coming in 5th and 6th in every ward and are racking up votes.
My major critique is that candidates who are running at large are not -- again not addressed to your campaign -- and this "reform" movement is dealing with the reality that the demographics have really changed in 8 years. It is not that African American voters will automatically vote for an African American over other candidates. (Bob Brady crushed Andrew Carn, Lynn Abraham got 20% of the black vote against Talmadge, when she was very controversial, Franny Rizzo is pretty popular among some segments of the black community, State Sen. Schwartz had a majority African American district, David Cohen, Anna Verna, Bill Rieger (bad example), Greg Paulmier, Anne Brown was/are ward leaders in majority African American wards.)
But there are some pretty strong candidates running in African American communities. Derek Green (who will get a lot of support in Mt. Airy) and Sharif Street (very hard candidate to call, but has phenomenal name recognition.) Add them to Wilson, Blondell and Kenney and its hard to get a lot of votes there and you need them to win.
The other way to win would be to crush in S. Philly and the Northeast, but there are not a lot of candidates with the kind of support you need to combines those two constituencies. Jim Kenney is probably the best and most recent candidate I can come up with.
That's what makes it hard to win.
But you have put in your time and have a lot of good things to say. I hear good things about you and you clearly get around, b/c people say that they have talked to you in some pretty disparate places. Good luck.
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I do not work for/support any candidate for any office in Philadelphia.
No, no I agree Gar
I admit there was about a 5 point drop, so something like 1 out of 5 White supporters went over to Street. Not a mass exodus, but not nothing either.
I was a Committeperson in a West Philly ward that had endorsed White, and there probably were a few more Street votes than we expected.
That race was far more racially divisive than this year's. I think the White and Evans supporters who came over to Street were simply afraid of Marty Weinberg. The really devastating negative ads that Katz produced were the anti-Weinberg ones.
Proudly supporting the BEAUTIFUL Philly For Change Council Slate and MICHAEL NUTTER for Mayor
I know your comment was
I know your comment was addressed to someone else, but it was to tempting to reply given my love of handicapping.
On a factual matter, it not Burrell in 99, but Evans. Burrell was the prior election against Lou Blackwell. Different race than the prior one b/c White began to surge at the end and he still held his votes. (He was the Black middle class candidate, Fattah is in this race, which is why the comparison falls apart.)
But I agree that a lot of people couldn't find themselves able to vote for Marty. My recollection was that his not living in the City was a big issue. Then, he said he lived in a condo off Penn's Landing, then it was Delancey Street on Rittenhouse Square. But that really hurt his campaign.
The other issue was that Fumo was really out front, so much so that it lead some voters to believe that Weinberg was a wholly controlled entity of Fumo. The problem that created was that he didn't come across as his own guy. His throwback to the Rizzo campaign on crime killed him in the Black community, so much so that there was a lot of pressure from a lot of circles to make sure that there was only one Black candidate in the race.
Street also had Rendell supporting him and telling voters his legacy would only continue with Street. That helped.
That history is important b/c the facts b/w Weinberg and Knox are different in this race. Knox lives in the City -- no questions there. Knox seems to be his own guy -- which is really helping him for voters interested in a change. To many African Americans, Knox is not an offensive candidate. Weinberg's campaign (n/w/s its Unity 99 theme) reminded African American voters of whhy they needed to be against Rizzo. The voting patterns were largely along racial lines. Knox has much better support in the African American community than did Weinberg.
For the Nutter folks, if its a two man race he is not in, I think it breaks down along racial lines. White voters will go to Knox. Many are looking to support a reformer and someone who will change the status quo. Black voters will go to Fattah, generally speaking.
My predictions on Council At Large:
1. Goode
2. Blondell
3. Kenney
4. Greenlee
5. Street/Ramos
It's too cl