- Pennsylvania Among 'Terrible 10' Most Regressive Tax States
- February 4 Non-Partisan Training: HOW TO RUN FOR ELECTION BOARD IN 2013: HOW TO RUN FOR COMMITTEEPERSON IN 2014
- Republican Governors Opt-In to Medicaid Expansion
- The Reports of Unions' Death Are Greatly Exaggerated
- Ask Allyson Schwartz to run for Governor
- Mind the gap: Opting Out of Medicaid Expansion Leaves Low-income Families Behind
- Jan. 14 Workshop:HOW TO RUN FOR ELECTION BOARD IN 2013; HOW TO RUN FOR COMMITTEEPERSON IN 2014
- Seth Williams on Guns, Jasmine Rivera on School Closures @PFC Meetup Wednesday
- PA Revenue Strong Midway Through Year; Tax Cut Could Have Big Impact
- What to Make of the Fiscal Cliff Deal?
New Poll has Nutter Moving
The Next Mayor has a new poll, and it will make certain people on this blog really happy:
In the last poll from Susquehanna Polling and Research (SP&R), conducted for the Pennsylvanians for Effective Government and soon to be released by KYW, Michael Nutter has moved up into a "statistical tie" for first with Tom Knox. You'll remember that in the last poll released by PEG and conducted by SP&R from March 13-14, Knox took the lead with 22%, followed by Fattah at 17% and the rest in a statistical tie from 10-13%.
Now, Nutter has moved from 12% to 18% and Knox has dropped from 22% to 20% while his unfavorables have increased from 12% in March to 21% now.
According to a memo accompanying the poll, it looks like Nutter's gains are due to a surge in his support among white Democrats where he leads Knox 29% to 24%. The memo also indicates that Nutter may be benefitting from the fact that Brady's unfavorables have continued to climb. Meanwhile, Fattah, as in other polls, continues to enjoy the lead in support among black voters with Knox, surprisingly, maintaining second place in that category. However, 32% of the black voters surveyed remain undecided so there is room for any candidate to move there. The memo concludes by stating that it appears Knox "may have peaked too early." (ed. - Is that what the kids are calling it these days?)
Obviously, the poll trends here are good for Nutter. But, what is clear is that if the poll is right, anything can happen in the next few weeks. Why? Because when they asked people if they were definitely supporting their candidate, Fattah had 10%, Nutter had 12% and Knox had 14%. In other words, this is looking pretty fluid.
This thing gets crazier all the time.
And, by the way, this poll has 49% white, and 44% African American as its sample size. That likely artificially deflates Fattah by at least a couple of points. (I am wrong- that was the March poll's numbers.)